Risks and responsible play
WickPlay is an experimental onchain market. Use it at your own risk.
WickPlay markets settle quickly. A small price movement can decide the result, and a losing trade loses the full stake.
Trading risks
- The market price can move sharply before settlement.
- A quoted payout does not guarantee a profit.
- Delayed or unavailable price data can delay settlement.
- Short runs of wins or losses do not predict future results.
- Depositor share value moves with the result of every pool-funded trade.
- A 2.5% expected pool edge on decisive volume does not guarantee a positive deposit return.
- Correlated positions can lose together; current limits do not net opposite exposures.
Settlement and withdrawal risks
- An accepted trade removes its stake from your available balance before the result.
- The settlement service can delay trade acceptance, results, commitments, or normal withdrawals.
- A forced exit uses the latest provable account state and has a challenge period.
- A forced exit values free shares after deducting pending maximum loss. Locked shares remain until their positions settle.
- The onchain contract checks the settlement signer's transition signature. It does not prove every offchain calculation.
Account and protocol risks
- An incorrect wallet, network, receiver, or contract address can cause loss.
- The protocol relies on pricing, result, sequencing, and data-availability services.
- Governance can upgrade the escrow contract or rotate the settlement signer.
- Smart contracts can contain defects.
- Regional rules may limit access to prediction markets.
Responsible play
- Trade only with funds you can afford to lose.
- Set a time limit and loss limit before you start.
- Do not chase losses or treat short-term wins as income.
- Stop if trading affects your sleep, work, relationships, or debt.
- Do not trade while impaired or under pressure from another person.